Regional banks: 225 constituents and 4 theses
Performance band in this snapshot
Leading
Regional banks theses (4)
Can Truist's selective portfolio shift improve risk-adjusted returns?
The supplied evidence supports a selective portfolio shift with C&I, wealth management, risk transfer, and capital returns offsetting weaker consumer production, but deposit migration and spread compression constrain the near-term margin path.
- TFC: The thesis directly changes Truist's loan production, deposit funding, net interest income, noninterest income, credit costs, capital allocation, and return on tangible common equity.
Can KeyCorp convert loan, deposit and repricing growth into durable earnings and returns?
The supplied evidence supports continued improvement in NIM, revenue and returns, while credit and deposit-pricing risks remain contained but unresolved.
- KEY: The question directly changes KeyCorp's net interest income, credit costs, revenue, capital allocation and returns.
Will KeyCorp's investment-banking franchise recover as delayed sponsor and middle-market deals resume?
Pipeline growth and management's delayed-deal and sponsor-activity outlook support recovery, but observed first-half growth and future conversion leave the trajectory conditional.
- KEY: Investment-banking fee conversion and the Clearwater UK advisory expansion directly affect KeyCorp revenue and operating leverage.
Huntington earnings and capital-return outlook
Huntington guides strong FY26 revenue and NII growth and higher FY27 buybacks, but the FY27 GAAP EPS outlook has been reduced to $1.75-$1.83 and is below the supplied $1.88 analyst estimate.
- HBAN: The file concerns HBAN's guided revenue and NII growth, with direct implications for GAAP EPS and buyback capacity.
Market backdrop from the same snapshot
The confirmed structure is dominated by an oil-supply shock that keeps inflation and policy relief conditional, with the tape showing OIL at its 40-day high, TLT at its 40-day low, and SPX and NDX down 1.90% and 2.07% over 20 sessions while VIX has risen over five sessions. Strong payroll evidence and persistent producer-price pressure preserve rate-hike and long-yield risk, but the core-PPI slowdown and unresolved CPI/FOMC path prevent this from becoming a confirmed collective hiking cycle. Trade barriers are implemented and broadening, crypto has bounced without resolving its leverage reset or breakout acceptance, and the company layer is selective: NIO delivery growth is sustained but decelerating, Tesla's autonomous displacement path remains unresolved, and SpaceX's AI buildout is exploratory despite commercialization evidence.
Regional banks constituents (225)
- PNC Financial Services Group (PNC)
- Truist Financial (TFC)
- Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB)
- M&T Bank (MTB)
- Huntington Bancshares (HBAN)
- Citizens Financial (CFG)
- First Citizens Bancshares (FCNCA)
- Regions Financial (RF)
- KeyCorp (KEY)
- East West Bancorp (EWBC)
- Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP)
- First Horizon (FHN)
- Popular (BPOP)
- Umb Financial (UMBF)
- SouthState Bank (SSB)
- Wintrust Financial (WTFC)
- Cullen/frost Bankers (CFR)
- Old National Bancorp (ONB)
- Old National Bancorp Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th 7% Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Series A (ONBPP)
- Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION)
- Western Alliance Bancorporation (WAL)
- Columbia Banking System (COLB)
- Prosperity Bancshares (PB)
- Commerce Bancshares (CBSH)
- Bok Financial (BOKF)
- Central Bancompany (CBC)
- Valley National Bancorp (VLY)
- United Bankshares (UBSI)
- F.N.B. Corp (FNB)
- Hancock Whitney (HWC)
- Intercorp Financial Services (IFS)
- Home BancShares (HOMB)
- Glacier Bancorp (GBCI)
- Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation (AUB)
- Associated Banc (ASB)
- Ameris Bancorp (ABCB)
- Bank OZK (OZK)
- First Financial Bankshares (FFIN)
- ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS)
- Fulton Financial (FULT)
- International Bancshares (IBOC)
- First Bancorp (FBP)
- United Community Banks (UCB)
- Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI)
- Cathay General Bancorp (CATY)
- CVB Financial (CVBF)
- Independent Bank (INDB)
- Wesbanco (WSBC)
- Renasant (RNST)
- Bancfirst (BANF)
- Nicolet Bankshares (NIC)
- First Interstate Bancsystem (FIBK)
- First Financial Bancorp (FFBC)
- TowneBank (TOWN)
- Simmons First National (SFNC)
- Park National (PRK)
- Community Financial System (CBU)
- Seacoast Bank (SBCF)
- BankUnited (BKU)
- First Hawaiian (FHB)
- Bank of Hawaii (BOH)
- NBT Bancorp (NBTB)
- Trustmark (TRMK)
- First Bancorp (FBNC)
- Customers Bancorp (CUBI)
- First Merchants (FRME)
- Banner (BANR)
- First Busey (BUSE)
- Stock Yards Bancorp (SYBT)
- Merchants Bancorp (MBIN)
- Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC)
- OFG Bancorp (OFG)
- 1st Source Corp. (SRCE)
- First Commonwealth Financial (FCF)
- City Holding (CHCO)
- The Bancorp (TBBK)
- German American Bancorp (GABC)
- FirstSun Capital Bancorp (FSUN)
- Republic Bancorp (RBCAA)
- Dime Commercial Bancshares (DCOM)
- S&T Bancorp (STBA)
- Hope Bancorp (HOPE)
- Byline Bancorp (BY)
- National Bank (NBHC)
- TriCo Bancshares (TCBK)
- Origin Bancorp (OBK)
- QCR Holdings (QCRH)
- ConnectOne Bank (CNOB)
- Triumph Financial (TFIN)
- Lakeland Financial (LKFN)
- Tompkins Financial (TMP)
- Community Trust Bancorp (CTBI)
- Westamerica Bancorporation (WABC)
- Peoples Bancorp (PEBO)
- First Mid Bancshares, Inc. (FMBH)
- Old Second Bancorp (OSBC)
- Preferred Bank (PFBC)
- Univest Financial (UVSP)
- Heritage Financial (HFWA)
- Metropolitan Bank (MCB)
- NBN
- Mercantile Bank (MBWM)
- MetroCity Bankshares, Inc. (MCBS)
- CNB Financial (CCNE)
- Business First Bancshares, Inc. (BFST)
- Horizon Bancorp (HBNC)
- Equity Bancshares (EQBK)
- Camden National (CAC)
- Hanmi Financial (HAFC)
- Central Pacific Financial (CPF)
- Mid Penn Bancorp (MPB)
- Southside Bancshares (SBSI)
- Farmers National (FMNB)
- First Community Bankshares (FCBC)
- Forbright (FRBT)
- First Financial (THFF)
- SmartFinancial (SMBK)
- Eagle Bancorp (EGBN)
- Great Southern Bancorp (GSBC)
- Capital City Bank Group (CCBG)
- Orrstown Financial Services (ORRF)
- Alerus Financial (ALRS)
- South Plains Financial (SPFI)
- Independent Bank (IBCP)
- Peapack Gladstone Financial (PGC)
- Financial Institutions (FISI)
- HomeTrust Bancshares, Inc. (HTB)
- Shore Bancshares (SHBI)
- Washington Trust Bancorp (WASH)
- VersaBank (VBNK)
- Community West Bancshares (CWBC)
- California Bancorp (BCAL)
- Arrow Financial (AROW)
- Peoples Financial Services (PFIS)
- Red River Bancshares, Inc. (RRBI)
- Bar Harbor Bankshares, Inc. (BHB)
- Capital Bancorp (CBNK)
- ACNB Corp. (ACNB)
- Coastal Financial (CCB)
- Kearny Financial (KRNY)
- Grupo Supervielle (SUPV)
- First Business Financial Services (FBIZ)
- Southern First Bancshares (SFST)
- Civista Bancshares (CIVB)
- Unity Bancorp (UNTY)
- Northrim BanCorp (NRIM)
- Bankwell Financial (BWFG)
- Northpointe Bancshares, Inc. (NPB)
- Sierra Bancorp (BSRR)
- West Bancorporation (WTBA)
- ChoiceOne Financial Services, Inc. (COFS)
- Citizens & Northern (CZNC)
- Bank of Marin Bancorp (BMRC)
- RBB Bancorp (RBB)
- Commercial Bancgroup (CBK)
- Plumas Bancorp (PLBC)
- Colony Bankcorp (CBAN)
- USCB Financial Holdings (USCB)
- Investar Holding (ISTR)
- Chemung Financial (CHMG)
- MVB Financial (MVBF)
- First Carolina Financial Services, Inc. (FCBM)
- Primis Financial (FRST)
- Parke Bancorp (PKBK)
- First Bancorp (FNLC)
- First Citizens BancShares, Inc. Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th Non-Cum Perp Pfd Registered Shs Ser E (FCNCN)
- Norwood Financial (NWFL)
- Blue Ridge Bankshares, Inc. (BRBS)
- Avidbank (AVBH)
- BayCom (BCML)
- CoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc. (COSO)
- Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Depository Shs Repr 1/40th Non cum Perp Pfd Shs Series J (HBANL)
- FVCBankcorp (FVCB)
- C & F Financial (CFFI)
- Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Registered Shs Series H (HBANP)
- First Community (FCCO)
- Princeton Bancorp (BPRN)
- First Western Financial (MYFW)
- Isabella Bank (ISBA)
- Oak Valley Bancorp (OVLY)
- Ames National (ATLO)
- QNB CORP (QNBC)
- Hawthorn Bancshares (HWBK)
- First United (FUNC)
- First National (FXNC)
- National Bankshares (NKSH)
- LCNB Corp. (LCNB)
- BCB Bancorp (BCBP)
- GBank Financial Holdings Inc (GBFH)
- Richmond Mutual Bancorporation (RMBI)
- Eagle Financial Services, Inc. (EFSI)
- Peoples Bancorp of North Carolina (PEBK)
- First Internet Bancorp (INBK)
- Community Bancorp (CMTV)
- WesBanco, Inc. Non Cum Pfd Shs Depository Shs Repr 1/140th Non cum Pfd Shs Series B (WSBCO)
- Ohio Valley Banc (OVBC)
- Bank OZK Non-Cum Perp Pfd Registered Shs Series A (OZKAP)
- Landmark Bancorp (LARK)
- CB Financial Services (CBFV)
- BV Financial (BVFL)
- Valley National Bancorp Fixed Rate Reset Prep PFD Series -C- (VLYPN)
- Merchants Bancorp Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th 6% Non-Cum Perp Red Pfd Rg Shs Series C (MBINN)
- Merchants Bancorp Depository Shs Repr 1/40th 8.25% Non-Cum Perp Red Pfd Rg Shs Series D (MBINM)
- Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Depositary Shs Repr 5.7% 1/1'000th Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Shs Series I (HBANM)
- Bank of the James Financial Group (BOTJ)
- Patriot National Bancorp (PNBK)
- ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc. Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th Fix/Fltg Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Shs Ser A (CNOBP)
- Valley National Bancorp (VLYPP)
- OptimumBank Holdings (OPHC)
- Union Bankshares (UNB)
- Valley National Bancorp (VLYPO)
- First Northwest (FNWB)
- Auburn National Bancorporation (AUBN)
- First US Bancshares (FUSB)
- United Bancorp (UBCP)
- Summit State Bank (SSBI)
- AmeriServ Financial (ASRV)
- CNB Financial Corporation Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th 7.125 % Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Series A (CCNEP)
- Enterprise Financial Services Corp Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th 5 % Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Shs Series A (EFSCP)
- Zions Bancorporation NA Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th Int Ser A Flt Rt Non Cum Perp Pfd Shs (ZIONP)
- First Merchants Corp Depositary Shs Repr 1/100th 7.5% 7.50% Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Shs Ser -A- (FRMEP)
- First Citizens BancShares, Inc. Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Registered Shs Series A (FCNCP)
- Texas Capital Bancshares Inc Depositary Shares Repr 1/40th 5.75 % Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Sh Series B (TCBIO)
- Fulton Financial Corporation Depositary Shs Repr 1/40th 5.125 % Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Shs Ser A (FULTP)
- Wintrust Financial Corporation Depositary Shs Repr 1/1000th 7.875% Non-Cum Red Perp Pfd Rg Series F (WTFCN)