What's driving Autodesk (ADSK)
Research summary
Autodesk FY2027 Sales Growth and Earnings Conversion
Why it matters now
A durable raised sales trajectory directly increases Autodesk’s revenue outlook and can support earnings conversion, while the widened GAAP EPS range and adjusted EPS range near the analyst estimate leave the overall earnings effect mixed.
Next checkpoint
ADSK earnings (expected 2026-11-24)
What would break the thesis
The FY2027 sales outlook is reduced or earnings conversion deteriorates materially alongside weaker sales growth.
Research drivers
Autodesk FY2027 Sales Growth and Earnings Conversion
Q2 revenue growth remains strong, but below-estimate FY27 and Q3 EPS guidance weakens the earnings-conversion outlook.
Source claims
Autodesk’s billings increased 10%, or 12% in constant currency, topping the 8% consensus estimate.
Autodesk shares were down 4.51% at $258.39 at the time of publication on Friday.
Autodesk lowered its GAAP margin outlook by about 100 basis points as MaintainX adds costs.
Management expects modest operating-margin expansion in fiscal 2028.
Adjusting for the new transaction model and foreign exchange, Autodesk’s revenue grew 12%, above BTIG’s 9% estimate.
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