What's driving TeraWulf (WULF)
Research summary
TeraWulf Justified Campus Power-Contract Conversion
Why it matters now
The approved agreement authorizes up to 482 MW and preserves access to existing transmission capability, directly increasing the power capacity available for WULF’s planned AI/HPC data-center development, while the project also requires approximately $4.0 billion to $4.5 billion of site-development and initial-data-hall investment and imposes load-attributable, customer-specific infrastructure, and credit-support obligations.
Next checkpoint
WULF earnings (expected 2026-11-09)
What would break the thesis
The approved power structure is curtailed or fails to translate into funded or operational data-center capacity, or customer commitments are withdrawn or fail to support deployment.
Research drivers
TeraWulf Justified Campus Power-Contract Conversion
The approved 482 MW structure materially supports TeraWulf’s path from available transmission capacity to AI/HPC data-center development, subject to capital and execution.
Source claims
TeraWulf has 840 megawatts of signed AI and high-performance computing leases with Core42, Fluidstack/Google and Anthropic.
TeraWulf’s Anthropic lease is a 20-year lease at a roughly 400-megawatt campus in Hawesville, Kentucky, expected to generate about $19 billion in revenue.
UBS estimates that recent deals at TeraWulf created roughly $12 million of equity value per megawatt.
UBS set a $24 price target for TeraWulf, about 40% above its recent price.
TeraWulf currently estimates approximately $4.0 billion to $4.5 billion of investment in site development and the initial data halls, excluding additional customer investment in computing equipment and related infrastructure.
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